What Is a Merger Model?
A merger model combines two companies' financials to evaluate a potential acquisition. It is one of the core models built by IB analysts and is essential for M&A advisory.
Key Components
Standalone projections for both companies. Transaction assumptions: purchase price, funding mix (cash/stock/debt), fees, and synergies. Purchase price allocation determines goodwill and new intangibles. Pro forma statements combine both companies with all adjustments.
Building the Model
Step 1: Standalone models for both companies. Step 2: Purchase price and implied multiples. Step 3: Funding structure specification. Step 4: Goodwill calculation. Step 5: Adjustment entries for financing costs, synergies, transaction costs, and new intangible amortization. Step 6: Combine financials. Step 7: Calculate pro forma EPS (accretion/dilution). Step 8: Analyze credit metrics.
Outputs
Accretion/dilution to EPS over multiple years, pro forma leverage and coverage, contribution analysis (revenue/EBITDA/earnings splits), synergy sensitivity, and purchase price sensitivity.
In Practice
Merger models are built for buy-side advisory (evaluate and price), sell-side advisory (demonstrate value), and fairness opinions. They answer: Can the acquirer afford it? Will it be accretive? What financing is optimal? How much can be paid before value is destroyed? What synergy level makes it work?